drawdown recovery quietly dominates retail participation
Historically, stretches where options skew leads without support from spot ETFs invite sharper reversals.
Useful frameworks survive longer than seasonal slogans.
Put beside current chatter on “Avalanche Won Over the NYSE. Now It Has to ‘Capture Value’ for AVAX,” the incentive problem looks clearer.
Ignoring Asia session flows because on-chain fees looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.
Stay close to what users and balance sheets are actually doing.
Most blow-ups start as comfortable consensus.
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